29th May 2010 will be the finale of the "Euro Vision". As part of the creative team event consulting company "Dymshits and partners" not interested musical aspect, and socio-cultural-political - it is known that the results and thus places artists at the "Euro Vision" from the results of SMS voting in produces a is a "vote" in the country, and this estimate is correct opinion "professional" judges. In connection with this evaluation system often hear the opinion that the quality of the actual speech, song, music, performances, such a vote has no influence. That, say, the country voted for their "neighbors" and "friends", and not for good or bad songs. Even leaders - ". Neighbor" representatives of the various countries that the results are "their" smile often announce expressly when thanks In other words, in Russian (and not only) the audience is generally believed that the vote on " Euro Vision "essentially reflects the cultural, political, historical, linguistic and other unit or similarity of the different countries, and does not really musical tastes of the audience. What does that say about dry statistics? When all assessments that different countries have put candidates and spend their cluster analysis (ie, try a country to find selected in a similar manner, and on this basis, in order to create groups - clusters), we will view (see Figure 1.1, 1.2, 1.3) that there is indeed a group of countries, "neighbors", estimates that from year to year are very close. Of course, this can be seen as a similar musical tastes of people in the neighborhood, and the desire to have a neighbor, regardless explained to think of his musical talents. Chances are of course both of these factors operate and the line between them is relatively thin. With reference to specific examples. Figure 1.1. The similarity of the results of the voting in the different countries in "Euro Vision 2007" Figure 1.2. The similarity of the results of the voting in the different countries in "Euro Vision 2008" Figure 1.3. The similarity of the results of the voting in the different countries in "Euro Vision 2007" In reviewing the results of the cluster analysis of the musical preferences of the individual countries (exposed about their opinions of the various stakeholders' Euro Vision "contest in 2007, 2008 and 2009 ) immediately apparent three relatively stable group of countries that are very similar from year to year to choose - is, first, the countries of the former Yugoslavia - Serbia, Macedonia, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Slovenia and Montenegro. Second, the countries of the former Soviet Union or more countries are in the European part of the Russian Empire in his pre-revolutionary borders. Although it is not so easy. If the "family" of the Yugoslav countries more or less only Bosnia and Herzegovina, grouping the countries of the former Soviet Union by similarity ratings to some degree is available only in Russia, Belarus, Ukraine, Moldova. Moldova and the falls in this group, despite the fact that three years in a row, despite the musical common sense brings 12 points in Romania (the reply, honest 12 points Moldova) - but the rest of Moldova elected and yet, as we have. Our Baltic neighbors - Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania - but simply grouped their estimates closer to the "East-Slavic-imperial" cluster, in addition to which these countries are often next to Israel and Poland, or they will be more solidarity with their northern neighbors - Finland, Sweden, Norway - this point is difficult to predict. However, it should be noted that in a separate cluster, the Baltic countries are not united - when Estonia often with the "Nordic bloc" tend, Lithuania and Latvia in their estimates closer to Belarus, Ukraine and Russia. Transcaucasian bloc of countries - participants of the former Soviet Union - Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan - in the last three years, not next to each cluster and within groups, agree generally very original. The third cluster, you should be careful - a "Nordic family" consisting of Sweden, Denmark, Norway and Finland (the latter, in spite of quite a long time spent in the Russian Empire, even more similar in their assessment of the participants of the "Euro Vision" on his Scandinavian neighbors than on former neighbors Empire). This group also includes Iceland. Often similar to agree Greece and Cyprus, as explained - in consultation takes only the Greek part of the island in the Mediterranean. Similar music tastes of France and Belgium, which can be explained by the intersection of language and socio-cultural space. Expected voice like Spain and Portugal. There could be some small clusters, but the main interest yet to find an answer to another question - what was still primarily - musical taste or good relations for some reason countries were divided into similar groups? For this, we solve the inverse problem - the number of times over three years, every country in the above set of clusters its neighbors in the cluster on the first, second, etc. instead. In 10, and so on, then add up the values obtained on the cluster and dividing by the number of countries participating in the cluster and the participating countries of the cluster one - for each first place, given the neighboring country on the cluster assign 12 points for each second certain years - get the ratio of the cluster neighborhood policy see Table A. Table 1 Coefficient neighbors blocks (clusters) RATIO. NEIGHBOURHOOD Moldova-Romania 12 Yugoslav block Cyprus-Greece 6.46 6.00 Eastern Slavic-Imperial Power + 4.68 Israel Nordic-Baltic-block 4.34 4.08 Spain-Portugal-France Belgium 0.17 Table 1 shows that the largest coefficient Neighborhood (to the absolute performance of the Republic of Moldova, Romania, and the index of Cyprus and Greece, which would be 12, if Cyprus is not only selected, but also sang) have a "Yugoslav" and "Eastern Slavic -imperial "blocks (the latter also includes Israel). This means that these countries vote largely on the basis of good neighborly relations as based on the quality of performance. In the "Yugoslav" block is just outside of Bosnia and Herzegovina, select all the Yugoslav republics always happy, but it often does not seem to agree not to vote with the neighbors. The "East-Slavic-imperial" block is remarkable Israel, estimates of which are surprisingly similar to those put, Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, Poland, Moldova and neighboring Latvia and Lithuania. This unit is amazing just at first glance. Obviously, this is a separate very interesting topic that deserves a thorough investigation. Finally, one would expect, the unity of all assessments of the post-Soviet space - but Armenia, Georgia, Azerbaijan and Ukraine - vote every year regardless of a cluster, but the analysis of geographically distant, it is not the post-Soviet and non-Slavic Imperial Israel for three years are similar to the estimates from Poland, Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, Moldova and part of Latvia and Lithuania. Not whether we surprising with genetic memory musical phenomenon that can be generalized to "small-town folk", on the basis of which was built in the twentieth century, a huge building of Soviet music of great composers, musicians and artists as Victor White, Isaac Schwartz can call Isaac and Maxim Dunaevskaya, Matthew Blanter, Leonid Cliffs, Mark Bernes, Eddie Rosner, Joseph Kobzon and many others. Now - if this hypothesis is not convincing - so remarkable for melodic composition Peter Nalitch tied hopefully with resonance, on the one hand, millions of post-Soviet people, brought to the verses of the Soviet poet, put on a variety of church melodies other - a million people, "Yugoslav" unit, the vote so much for "their" reasons of good neighborliness - and yet Nalitch grandson of the famous Bosnian tenor voice, before the revolution in Belgrade. Here is what the possible assistance of Peter Nalitch this year to be much stronger than that received in the past year, a young violinist with Belarusian surname Fisher, when he supported the "Nordic" and "East-Slavic-Imperial" units. If so, then Peter can only sing well. Sostav.ru
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